Amanda Lemos vs Alexia Thainara prediction is one of the most intriguing women’s strawweight fights of the summer. The two Brazilians meet on August 8 at UFC Vegas 120 in Las Vegas, with the surging Thainara looking to continue her 12-fight win streak against the heavy-handed former title challenger Lemos.
The matchup is a classic test of momentum versus experience. Thainara, 14-1 and unbeaten in the Octagon at 3-0, is one of the fastest-rising fighters in the division, while Lemos, 15-6-1, has shared the cage with the very best at 115 pounds and carries genuine one-punch finishing power.
Lemos vs Thainara Style Breakdown: Striking vs Grappling
The fight pits Lemos’ power striking against Thainara’s submission game. Lemos is a heavy-handed veteran who has fought for the strawweight title and brings real knockout power to every exchange. Her aggressive, forward-moving style has produced numerous finishes throughout her career, and she remains dangerous even when behind on the scorecards.
Thainara is the opposite profile: a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu with eight submission wins, including five rear-naked chokes and three armbars. She averages 1.82 submission attempts per 15 minutes and has finished seven of her last 11 wins. Her path to victory is to get the fight to the mat and work her grappling advantage, which is exactly the kind of game plan that can neutralize a power puncher.
What Is Alexia Thainara’s Fight Record?
Thainara is 14-1 as a professional with a 12-fight win streak, and her UFC record stands at 3-0. She earned her contract through Dana White’s Contender Series in September 2024, then made an immediate impact by submitting Molly McCann in the first round at UFC London in March 2025 — a performance that earned her a Performance of the Night bonus. She followed with decisions over Loma Lookboonmee and Bruna Brasil, avenging the only loss of her career against Brasil in March 2026.
Her rise has been built on a long regional grind in Brazil. She turned professional in 2018, won belts across multiple Brazilian promotions, and developed her submission-heavy game before the UFC came calling. At 28 years old and ranked in the women’s strawweight top 15, she represents exactly the kind of fresh challenger the division needs.
What Are Amanda Lemos’ Striking Statistics?
Lemos brings the power advantage into this fight. A veteran of more than 20 professional fights, she has fought the best in the strawweight division, including a title fight against the champion. Her striking volume and power are her primary weapons, and she is dangerous at every range — in the pocket, in the clinch, and on the ground, where she also carries submission threats.
Lemos enters the fight looking to arrest a rough patch in her career. She has been inconsistent in recent outings, and a win over the surging Thainara would re-establish her as a contender. The question is whether her power can land before Thainara gets the fight to the mat, where the younger Brazilian holds a significant grappling edge.
What Is the Prediction for Lemos vs Thainara?
The fight hinges on whether Thainara can get Lemos to the ground. If she does, her submission game and positional control should give her a clear path to victory, either by finish or dominant decision. If Lemos keeps the fight standing and lands her power shots, she has the ability to end the night with one punch — the kind of threat Thainara has not faced at this level.
The most likely outcome favors Thainara’s momentum and grappling edge, but Lemos’ power makes her dangerous in every round. It is the kind of matchup where the first takedown attempt could decide the fight: if Thainara lands it early, she controls the narrative; if Lemos stuffs it and lands clean, the veteran’s experience could carry her. Either way, this is a compelling strawweight clash between a rising star and a proven veteran.
The stakes add another layer. Thainara is pushing toward a title shot in a strawweight division that is always looking for fresh challengers, and a win over a former title challenger like Lemos would be her strongest statement yet. Lemos, meanwhile, needs the win to stay relevant in the rankings conversation after a difficult stretch. The loser faces a significant setback, while the winner moves one step closer to the division’s elite — which is exactly why this fight on the UFC Vegas 120 card deserves close attention.
Sources:
- Fightomic: Alexia Thainara — UFC record, stats and fighter profile
- UFC.com: Alexia Thainara athlete profile
- Next-Fight: Amanda Lemos next fight — stats and record
Last updated: August 3, 2026